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  • richard evans

Just four sleeps to go......

Good morning

We are edging close to Christmas and the markets seem to be going into holiday mode, however the week still has some decent economic data to offer so it is perhaps a little early to down tools. Mind you, judging by the number of email bouncebacks I get when I send this out, many of you already seem to have taken some early holidays, and I must say I can’t blame you.

There hasn’t been too much going on in the world of currencies over the past day or so. GBPUSD and EURUSD are trading at 1.2150 and 1.0620 respectively, not far at all from where they were this time yesterday. Yen has held onto its post-BoJ gains, USDJPY now just below 132.00 while GBPJPY is around 160.00. GBPAUD is up at 1.8200 but finding it difficult to make further gains, for now the 1.8265 level looks to be key.

Gold is trading at $1815/oz which is almost exactly where we were at the start of the year. The Russian invasion of Ukraine had sent gold up to $2070 or so in March, it then fell through the year to $1615 as the US dollar pushed higher, combined with no major escalation of hostilities in Ukraine, but the recent, slightly dovish Fed has seen gold return to the $1800 area where I have to say it looks more comfortable. The year range has not been too out of the ordinary for gold, and it has given us two very clear levels to watch in $1615 which was tested and held several times, and $2070 which matched closely the August 2020 high.

To the markets today, more CAD data this time CPI. CAD hardly gained from yesterdays much stronger than expected retail sales number, USDCAD now 1.3610, not suer we’ll see much movement today unless numbers are far from expectation. We do have UK GDP data early tomorrow morning, the last big release before Christmas, the US of course leave a load of data until Thursday and Friday, I’m sure they do it purpose!

Not quite the last day to get deliveries by Christmas although don’t leave it too much longer, unless you are happy shopping with Amazon in which case you can probably take it easy for another day or so.

- 13.00 SNB quarterly report

- 13.30 CAD CPI

- 15.00 US consumer confidence

- 07.00 UK GDP


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